CONVECTIVE FORECAST - UPDATE
VALID 18Z THU 12/08 - 06Z FRI 13/08 2004
ISSUED: 12/08 18:58Z
FORECASTER: GROENEMEIJER

There is a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms forecast across Bavaria, Oberoesterreich, Czech Republic

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms forecast across Northern France, southern Benelux, Germany, Alpine region, western Czech Republic, Austria, northern Italy

General thunderstorms are forecast across Southern and central Great Britain, France, northern Italy, Balkans, southern Scandinavia, western Russia, eastern Ukraine

SYNOPSIS

refer to convective forecast.

DISCUSSION

...Bavaria, Oberoesterreich, Czech republic...
Severe bow echo over Bavaria is expected to continue its eastward movement and affect most of Bavaria, and parts of Oberoesterreich and the Czech republic this evening and overnight. Damaging winds of 60-70 kts will likely affect those areas before the severe wind threat slowly decreases during the late evening. Large hail can be expected as well.

#